Huang Wentao of China CITIC Construction Investment Co., Ltd. and others: It is estimated that deficit ratio will rise to over 4% in 2025, and it is expected that the stock and debt will continue. On December 9th, the Political Bureau of the Central Committee held a meeting to analyze and study the economic work in 2025. Huang Wentao, chief economist of CITIC Jiantou, and Liu Tianyu, macro analyst of CITIC Jiantou, believe that the policy tone of this Politburo meeting is quite proactive, which shows that the central government has made a full assessment and policy reserve for the pressures and risks that may be encountered in economic development next year, which has strongly echoed the expectations of economic entities. Huang Wentao and Liu Tianyu pointed out that GDP growth in the fourth quarter is expected to reach more than 5.2%, achieving the expected goal of annual economic growth of around 5%. On this basis, the annual growth target of about 5% will also be the basic premise of policy discussion in the next few years. Since the fourth quarter of this year, the fiscal policy has been continuously overweight. This time, the fiscal policy is set to be "more active", which indicates that the fiscal policy will expand again. It is estimated that deficit ratio will increase to over 4% in 2025. Both stocks and debts are expected to continue. Unconventional countercyclical adjustment policies not only provide sufficient impetus for the recovery of economic vitality, but also provide strong support for improving expectations and reviving confidence, and provide sufficient source of living water for the capital market. The stock market is expected to continue to strengthen and the risk-free rate of return is expected to continue to decline.The new work of the famous horror film series Death Comes 6 is scheduled in North America. On May 16th next year, the new work of the famous horror film series Death Comes 6 is scheduled. The film will be released in North America on May 16th next year to commemorate the 25th anniversary of the series.Morgan Stanley published a research report, predicting that Chow Tai Fook's share price will outperform the market index in the same period in the next 30 days with a 70% to 80% chance, pointing out that Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party revealed a strong stimulus policy tone yesterday, indicating that it is necessary to expand domestic demand, and called for supporting measures for housing and stock market stability, hoping for stable asset prices, which will have a positive impact on gold and jewelry consumption. The bank also pointed out that December of each year to February of the following year is usually the traditional peak season for jewelry sales, and Chow Tai Fook's share price has fallen by about 40% this year, which is inferior to the performance of MSCI China Index and Hang Seng Index in the same period. It is expected that the strength and implementation details of the central government's stimulus measures, the pace of inflation and the stability of gold prices in the future will affect whether the company's valuation can be revalued in the market and maintain its "in sync with the market" rating, with a target price of HK$ 8.3.
The IMF believes that Asian economies are resilient enough to withstand the test of turmoil. Economists of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) say that Asian economies are resilient enough to withstand the test of turmoil, emphasizing the importance of calmly coping with turmoil when the region faces various internal risks and challenges brought by Trump's return to the White House. Asia is still the key engine of global economic growth, but uncertainty caused by many factors has increased this year. The unexpected leadership change in Japan, the chaotic martial law storm in South Korea and Trump's tariff threat all make the future of the region even more unpredictable. Alasdair Scott, head of the Asia-Pacific Department of the IMF, declined to comment on specific countries and political situations, but he emphasized the resilience of Asia and said that the region still has great growth potential.Reserve Bank of Australia President Brock: The change in wording of the central bank's monetary policy committee is intentional. Reserve Bank of Australia President Brock: The change in wording of the statement is intentional. The Committee noted that the data had weakened. Have more confidence in inflation. The Committee believes that the economic situation is basically in line with expectations. No need for two or more quarterly inflation data to change. Will pay attention to all data including employment.Dotinolole, a new drug used by Weicai to treat gout, was approved for marketing in China. On December 10th, Weicai China announced that its new urate reuptake inhibitor Dotinolole tablets (trade name: Youlesi) had been approved by National Medical Products Administration (NMPA) in China, and its indication was gout with hyperuricemia.
Sources: Boeing restarted the production of 737 MAX last week. Sources said that about one month after the strike ended, Boeing restarted the production of 737 MAX aircraft last week.At the close of early trading, the main contracts of domestic futures rose more and fell less. Coke and BR rubber rose by more than 3%, while rebar, glass, hot coil, iron ore and Shanghai Bank rose by more than 2%. In terms of decline, the European line of container transportation fell by nearly 3%, while asphalt, alumina and No.20 glue fell by more than 1%.The IMF believes that Asian economies are resilient enough to withstand the test of turmoil. Economists of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) say that Asian economies are resilient enough to withstand the test of turmoil, emphasizing the importance of calmly coping with turmoil when the region faces various internal risks and challenges brought by Trump's return to the White House. Asia is still the key engine of global economic growth, but uncertainty caused by many factors has increased this year. The unexpected leadership change in Japan, the chaotic martial law storm in South Korea and Trump's tariff threat all make the future of the region even more unpredictable. Alasdair Scott, head of the Asia-Pacific Department of the IMF, declined to comment on specific countries and political situations, but he emphasized the resilience of Asia and said that the region still has great growth potential.
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide